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Aramco Edges Past Estimates With $27.3B Q1 Profit Despite 14% Oil Price Decline

Saudi Aramco (2222.SR) reported a first-quarter net profit of 27.3 billion, marginally surpassing analyst expectations of 26.8 billion despite Brent crude averaging just $83.42/barrel (-14% YoY). The world’s largest oil producer demonstrated resilience through:

Key Financial Highlights:

  • Revenue: 107.2B 121.3B Q1 2024)

  • Free Cash Flow: $25.6B (covers 87% of dividend)

  • Dividend: Maintained at $29.4B payout

Operational Wins:

  1. Downstream Strength

    • Refining margins expanded to 9.80/bbl 7.20)

    • New Jazan refinery reached 92% utilization

  2. Cost Discipline

    • Production costs fell to 7.10/barrel 7.80)

    • Capex reduced by $1.2B through efficiency gains

Market Reaction:

  • Shares rose 0.8% in early Riyadh trading

  • 5-year CDS spreads tightened 3bps

Outlook:
CEO Amin Nasser affirmed 2025 production guidance of 12.3M bpd but warned of “demand uncertainties” in H2.

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